A wild card in all this is whether Trump decides to follow through with his threats to use tariffs to restructure the North American automobile industry. The resulting unemployment, which would be concentrated in certain states, and the effects on auto prices and supply would worsen Republican chances of holding the House in the midterms. Will that stop him going down that path?
Replying 1 month later. We will know better by April 2 what team Trump has in mind. It is possible that, if the economy tanks as confidence is undermined by the President's words and actions and if support for Republican congressional candidates dips, the chances of the 2026 mid-term elections being free and fair may fall along with economic confidence and Republican support.
A wild card in all this is whether Trump decides to follow through with his threats to use tariffs to restructure the North American automobile industry. The resulting unemployment, which would be concentrated in certain states, and the effects on auto prices and supply would worsen Republican chances of holding the House in the midterms. Will that stop him going down that path?
Replying 1 month later. We will know better by April 2 what team Trump has in mind. It is possible that, if the economy tanks as confidence is undermined by the President's words and actions and if support for Republican congressional candidates dips, the chances of the 2026 mid-term elections being free and fair may fall along with economic confidence and Republican support.